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Welcome to another episode of the
Democracy Innovator Podcast and our guest

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of today is Paolo Spada. And thank you
Paolo for your time

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and as first question I would like to ask
you ~ if you can share something about

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yourself and ~ your research path,

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also like what you worked on.

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Thank you for having me Alessandro.

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So my research is ~ quite unusual

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in the field ~ because I started as an
economist studying monetary

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crisis. ~ I finished my undergrad in 2000.

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My dissertation was with Professor
Giavazzi that is quite well known in
Italy.

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~ But then I read a really famous article
from

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Le Monde

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There was talking about participatory
budgeting and the social forum

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in Porto Allegre and I got really
interested into

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it and then I was talking with some friend
and he came out that

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a family friend Giovanni Allegretti was
the first Italian to actually have studied

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participatory budgeting and one of the
biggest experts of participatory budgeting

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in Europe.

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random reason because Giovanni was
vacationing there when he was

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16 because his family was going there
because they had connection.

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~

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to civil society organizations and ~
religious groups.

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~ And so I brought Giovanni and Giovanni
told me that he was organizing

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the first training for civil servants in
Trento in Europe

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on participatory budgeting. That was ~
June,

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no, maybe July 2000. I went there and I
kind of

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got the bug of democratic innovation.

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But at the time I was still studying
economics.

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I began a PhD in economics in Bologna and
then I

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got in a Northwestern. I went in the US to
do my PhD in Northwestern.

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I really didn't like it much.

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I don't know if you've read the capital of
Piketty,

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but there is an introduction that really
describes also my experience about this

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mathematical model that reached a level of
elegance.

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I love math, very mathematical elegance,

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but completely disconnected from reality.

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And so... ~

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There I was thinking about my life.

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was coming back in December of my first
year on the plane and close

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to me sits Michael Wallerstein,

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one of the few analytical Marxists of the
US.

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We discussed for six hours. He was doing
model of redistribution and we discussed.

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He was also a Northwesterner and I started
an independent study with him when

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I came back after vacation. And after a
year of independent study,

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told me, look, if you want to study,

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what do want to study?

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you need to move to political science.

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Big crisis because ~ I was coming from
economics and economists that look down

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to political scientists. As everybody
knows,

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there is this funny ranking where at the
top the physicists that look down

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to everybody else and it goes down like in
the food chain of academia.

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think political science is probably one of
the lowest.

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I don't know where we are. ~ And big
crisis and ~

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But then I decided against my parents.

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My parents were like, no, what are you
doing?

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No, I decided to switch. So I applied
again

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to a PhD and I moved to Yale with Michael.

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~

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to start a new PhD at 27 years old in
economics.

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named politics, sorry. That was a big
shock obviously because I didn't know
anything

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about politics, right? I was coming from a
complete econ background.

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~ And there...

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I met people that were studying Latin
America.

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Finally, my little project that I had on
participatory budgeting at Northwestern,

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I was going around professor by professor
with this little project asking,

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are you interested in this? And they're
what?

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No, that's not economics. Finally,

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I found both economists and political
scientists at Yale that didn't know
anything

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about PB, but they were interested.

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And so I managed to go study participatory
budgeting in Brazil.

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I lived one year in Brazil.

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~ And I ~ contributed to the creation of
this data set that is the largest data

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set in the world on a democratic
innovation is called

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the Participatory Budgeting Census.

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It's kind of a public book. I really
insisted to be a public book.

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Good. I used the Creative Commons license
when nobody was using it.

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They were talking about eons ago.

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People use it without citing me all sorts
of things,

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but I didn't care. I kept insisting ~ and
I kept redoing

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It's a survey we do every four years.

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We basically call all the 500 cities in
Brazil and they ask if they

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do participatory budgeting or not.

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And it was used in the sort of first large
scale quantitative

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analysis of diffusion of participatory
budgeting and impact.

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there is still nothing similar to that
data set,

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we just did the update now. ~ And then
from there at Yale they were doing

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deliberative polls because Jim Fishkin was
collaborating with people at Yale.

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So I started as a research assistant
giving sandwich ~ to

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the participants and then I slowly went
up.

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So I started from the sandwich,

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then the data entry and then the last one
I was actually

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designing an experiment and I also got
into America Speak.

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That was one of the early experiments ~

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for ~ multi-site deliberation.

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They were using basically Skype and
clickers.

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We are talking about 2006-2008.

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To connect multiple cities they were doing
deliberative events together.

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So I organized one together with a
Japanese researcher in

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at Yale. ~ then Elaine Landemore arrived.

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Her first job as a professor out of
Harvard was at Yale.

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That was my last year. I just came back
from the field in Brazil and

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I took her class on deliberative democracy
and we had this very interesting,

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~ lovely conflictual relationship because
she's more deliberative

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and more participatory. ~

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she really opened up a lot of my interest.

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That was ~ also when I met Hugo Mercier,

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it's one of the psychologists that works
on collective intelligence that does

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amazing work. That then I collaborate with
some grant,

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that was one of the collaborators with the
land.

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~ The next step, I was really lucky and I
went to Harvard in Arkham Fung

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and then all sort of complicated life
reason for which I couldn't stay in the
US,

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I had to come

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back

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to.

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to Europe and because my family is in
Milan now with my ex-wife.

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And so I worked,

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but I did a step in Canada with Mark
Warren at UBC where

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I helped organize some citizen assembly.

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That was my first experience with Canadian
style citizen assembly that

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I really like. I was one of the
facilitator of one of the citizen assembly

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on Grandview Woodland.

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It's a district in Vancouver. ~ And then I
came

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to the UK to do what the Fair Citizen
Assembly in the UK,

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they were done in 2015. Then I moved to
collaborate again with Giovanni Legretti,

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that I mentioned before, in an Horizon
grant in Portugal in which

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we developed a digital platform for
participation.

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In the meantime, through Elan,

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I'd met Mark Lane that had developed the
Deliberaturo.

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that it's an argument mapping platform.

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If we're talking about scaling up,

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that's what I'm gonna talk about because
the early experiment before

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AI and before the current ~ wave on

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how to scale up large scale discussion
online where

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asynchronous and text-based and argument
mapping was really promising

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and it's still promising as a technology.

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And then ultimately I got a job at South
Africa

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I did one year in Italy, ~ L'Aquila,

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at ~ GSSI, the research center on...

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~

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on regional economics where they organized
the Festival

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of Participation for a few years.

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Now, I think he moved to Bologna ~ and I
really like that.

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I feel it, don't know if it's blocked or
not

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But then I got a job at Southampton and I
really like Southampton because

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it was really valuing

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~ the Democratic Innovation Scholarship.

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We now have one of the largest faculty,

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not just in politics, but ~ in all

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department, if you look at the Center of
Democratic Futures,

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we probably have 80 to 100 scholars that
work on different kinds

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of democratic innovation from computer
science,

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politics, economics, all sorts.

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It's really, really interesting in
Southampton right now for this stuff.

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I was curious, what is different in
relation

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to citizen assembly, you mentioned the
Canadian way,

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and also another question, during these
experiments related

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to participation, what worked and what
didn't work as you expected?

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Okay.

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So as the terminology

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of citizen assembly is traced back to the
British Columbia Citizen Assembly

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that was ~ done in 2004, it's kind of the
grandmother of the Citizen Assembly.

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~ And the way

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I define it is

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a systemic ~ innovation, right?

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because it engages multiple audiences at
the same time,

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significantly more systematically than
most of the other models.

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So what's the big difference? Apart that
it's longer and bigger.

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So instead of like having two,

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three weekends in last one year and they
had,

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I think, 10 weekends, I don't remember.

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But if you look in participator,

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there is a nice case study by Mark Warren
described.

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But

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On top of that, they had 56 open to all
meetings

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in which the participants of the assembly,

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the one that were randomly selected,

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went back to their location because the
region was divided in 56 locations

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and two people were randomly selected from
each to come.

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And they basically act as a facilitator of
an open to all assembly together with

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professional facilitator to bring

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the discussion to the maxi public.

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The key problem, a legitimacy problem of ~
the current generation of mini public

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is that they're too closed, right?

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They don't connect sufficiently maxi
public.

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It's really hard to do that connection.

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With technology, people are trying now,

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maybe they ask people for comments,

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but then it's unclear what happened to the
comments.

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And so the Canadian model,

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when there is enough money and when
they're doing a CT

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this is an assembly because sometimes
they're doing other things ~

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as really these sort of multi-channel
engagement system in which it

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has the randomly selected assembly plus
open to all events.

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And I think that works way better.

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That's my personal opinion than the
standard model.

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A deliberative poll, it's teeny compared,

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it's completely different ~ system.

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And the question of what works,

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what did not work? Are you referring it to
participatory batch?

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or to the entire galaxy? Because if it's
the entire galaxy,

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Ugh.

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we're going to stay here three months.

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So

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maybe not the entire galaxy but like yeah
in your experience something that maybe

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you were expecting certain

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All right.

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If you think about the continuous scale
from the most evangelist

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of democratic innovation and the more
sceptic that thinks that nothing works,

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I am a sort of sceptical friend.

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I think there is too much hype in the
field,

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in part because the field was
minoritarian,

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particularly in the US, ~ public policy
was...

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was

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completely against ~ deliberative process.

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They thought they were just mumbo jumbo
and an interest group will control

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everything. If you still find or present
democratic innovation stuff

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to a traditional ~ sort of polyarchy
train,

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US scholar in public scholarship,

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and it happened to me a couple of times,

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you feel this perception that what are you
talking about?

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Right? This thing, it's can be,

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politics is power, right? ~

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stuff make no sense. It's obvious that it
doesn't work and this is just...

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you're deluding yourself to think it
works.

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so I am an empirical scholar.

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~

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And so I found myself many times in the
position

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of testing empirically some of the claims
that philosophers

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had put out about the potential of
deliberation

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and not finding a feedback in the
empirics.

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And I was a pioneer of the empirical
studies,

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right? I started in 2004 together with
many others.

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But so I come from that side, but the
field has evolved a lot.

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Initially, there was a lot of allergic
reaction if you were criticizing exactly

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because it was a minoritarian field,

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right? So the title of my dissertation

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was something I forgot what it was,

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but it was the original version was
something about the problem

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of participatory budgeting or the limit of
participatory budgeting.

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And my external

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advisor, Brian Wampler, the most famous
researcher on participatory budgeting

242
00:15:37,710 --> 00:15:40,422
in the US, told me to change the title.

243
00:15:40,422 --> 00:15:43,633
said, you still have to sell participatory
budgeting.

244
00:15:43,633 --> 00:15:46,435
Nobody believes that does anything.

245
00:15:46,435 --> 00:15:50,096
Right. So first we need to establish that
it works.

246
00:15:50,096 --> 00:15:53,478
And I was, yes, but like I found issues.

247
00:15:53,478 --> 00:15:58,621
But I think it's a problem with all the
sort

248
00:15:58,621 --> 00:16:01,002
of niche growing field.

249
00:16:01,660 --> 00:16:06,003
that are normatively driven because we
believe that democratic innovation is
good.

250
00:16:06,003 --> 00:16:08,369
So there is an action research element,

251
00:16:08,369 --> 00:16:14,147
a political element to it. And we talk
about it a lot in

252
00:16:14,407 --> 00:16:16,329
a paper that we thought...

253
00:16:16,824 --> 00:16:20,496
nobody would have read. We've wrote it
like in a month,

254
00:16:20,496 --> 00:16:24,578
me and Matt Ryan, after a conference
called the failure to examine failure

255
00:16:24,578 --> 00:16:29,700
in democratic innovation. But it's
actually the most one of my most cited
paper,

256
00:16:29,700 --> 00:16:33,722
right. And he talks about this our weird
field,

257
00:16:33,722 --> 00:16:38,204
right. It's a bit strange. There are all
sorts of little conflict of interest,

258
00:16:38,204 --> 00:16:42,986
because we are doing research on something
that it's also a political process we're

259
00:16:42,986 --> 00:16:46,688
really passionate about. It's very
different from what I

260
00:16:46,758 --> 00:16:53,337
know a person that studies economic crisis
as I used to or political parties right

261
00:16:54,358 --> 00:17:00,406
and so navigating ~ this conflict of
interest is fascinating but also
challenging.

262
00:17:00,406 --> 00:17:02,769
I'm often asked to sign NDAs.

263
00:17:03,590 --> 00:17:10,153
right, ~ by some of the big players in the
field when I'm evaluating for them.

264
00:17:10,153 --> 00:17:13,935
And I am an evaluator. And so I,

265
00:17:13,935 --> 00:17:17,046
but now I know, like the first time I was
puzzled,

266
00:17:17,046 --> 00:17:23,169
I had like a big crisis when I was asked
by participatory budgeting project

267
00:17:23,169 --> 00:17:27,701
in the US. After I helped to evaluate New
York City,

268
00:17:27,701 --> 00:17:29,722
there was a bigger process US wide.

269
00:17:29,722 --> 00:17:31,573
And they said, okay, Paolo, yes,

270
00:17:31,573 --> 00:17:33,504
you can evaluate, can help for free.

271
00:17:33,456 --> 00:17:34,456
free,

272
00:17:33,676 --> 00:17:36,788
obviously, but you're going to sign an
NDA.

273
00:17:36,788 --> 00:17:41,861
And I was, what? An NDA? Where
transparency is going,

274
00:17:41,861 --> 00:17:46,704
accountability, right? But then three
minutes of reflection

275
00:17:46,744 --> 00:17:48,926
and you realize that...

276
00:17:49,650 --> 00:17:53,453
there is an important political project
that it's minoritarian

277
00:17:53,453 --> 00:17:58,377
and it's attacked left and right by very
conservative forces.

278
00:17:58,377 --> 00:18:04,261
And what do you think it's a minor
critique that you are providing

279
00:18:04,261 --> 00:18:06,343
to improve the project, right?

280
00:18:06,343 --> 00:18:11,247
Something didn't work here, can be
instrumentalized by the media,

281
00:18:11,247 --> 00:18:14,589
by the opposition to kill the entire
process.

282
00:18:15,374 --> 00:18:19,661
And so again, that was my reaction as a
young postdoc.

283
00:18:19,661 --> 00:18:22,665
Now I actually, when I have a client,

284
00:18:22,665 --> 00:18:25,640
I immediately say, look, there are two
ways to evaluate here.

285
00:18:25,640 --> 00:18:27,693
Do you want an independent evaluation?

286
00:18:28,650 --> 00:18:31,771
Or do you want me in research and
development mode?

287
00:18:31,771 --> 00:18:34,870
At that point, if I'm R &D,

288
00:18:34,870 --> 00:18:37,734
~ I don't want my name on the evaluation
first,

289
00:18:37,734 --> 00:18:40,496
because at that point, it's not my
academic work,

290
00:18:40,496 --> 00:18:44,157
it's another job. I'm here to help you
because I believe in your project.

291
00:18:44,157 --> 00:18:46,879
And we don't need to publish anything,

292
00:18:46,879 --> 00:18:50,900
right? We can decide what to publish or
not in your name,

293
00:18:50,900 --> 00:18:54,362
right? Because at that point, the
publication are way more sketchy.

294
00:18:54,362 --> 00:18:56,923
But that's my way of navigating it.

295
00:18:56,923 --> 00:18:58,394
But it's complex.

296
00:18:58,464 --> 00:19:03,745
It's not easy. ~ And ~ what works and
doesn't work,

297
00:19:03,745 --> 00:19:08,626
~ now there is a vast literature on the
impact,

298
00:19:08,626 --> 00:19:11,747
but it's still, if you look at it,

299
00:19:11,747 --> 00:19:14,535
it's still very limited, right?

300
00:19:14,535 --> 00:19:17,148
We still don't have a lot of meta studies,

301
00:19:17,148 --> 00:19:23,590
very few replications, and there are
trends that

302
00:19:23,590 --> 00:19:25,570
are emerging. ~

303
00:19:26,258 --> 00:19:31,121
but it's a very complicated literature to
say exactly what works.

304
00:19:31,121 --> 00:19:33,723
So I'm gonna give you my take,

305
00:19:33,723 --> 00:19:40,037
but it's an experiential take that it's
based on my intuition and I would

306
00:19:40,037 --> 00:19:42,619
not be able to prove it academically,

307
00:19:42,619 --> 00:19:48,603
right? And so in my opinion, participatory
budgeting is the best technology

308
00:19:48,603 --> 00:19:53,957
to improve trust at the local level
because it is designed structurally

309
00:19:54,017 --> 00:19:55,478
to close the feedback loop.

310
00:19:55,858 --> 00:19:57,920
when it works, we're talking about when it
works.

311
00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:03,366
Because what you're doing is you're
letting ~ citizens propose ideas,

312
00:20:03,366 --> 00:20:10,134
rank ideas, and then the city is
implementing those ideas in a short amount
of time.

313
00:20:10,790 --> 00:20:13,261
So there is a direct feedback loop,

314
00:20:13,261 --> 00:20:16,592
like in a video game, you push a button
and something happens.

315
00:20:16,592 --> 00:20:19,353
And in PB is designed for that.

316
00:20:19,353 --> 00:20:22,124
And we have some data here and there,

317
00:20:22,124 --> 00:20:26,355
but it doesn't always work. But the result
is not really that data.

318
00:20:26,355 --> 00:20:29,016
The result is the fact that PB,

319
00:20:29,016 --> 00:20:32,998
to me the intuition is PB spread like
wildfire.

320
00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:40,227
And it's used a lot by charismatic new
mayors that come

321
00:20:40,227 --> 00:20:44,561
in for the first time and they need to
show that they're different from the past.

322
00:20:44,561 --> 00:20:47,845
And that's when it really shining works.

323
00:20:47,845 --> 00:20:48,866
~

324
00:20:49,360 --> 00:20:53,732
Interestingly enough, I have a very
different position from a lot

325
00:20:53,732 --> 00:20:57,864
of the literature on PB that says the more
years you do PB,

326
00:20:57,864 --> 00:21:03,347
the better it becomes. I'm actually kind
of against institutionalization because

327
00:21:03,347 --> 00:21:09,369
apart from a few cases, my research shows
that PB has a life cycle and

328
00:21:09,369 --> 00:21:11,780
it tends to die after eight years.

329
00:21:11,780 --> 00:21:17,503
Like it's really hard for a PB to survive
really well

330
00:21:17,503 --> 00:21:19,064
at the peak.

331
00:21:20,264 --> 00:21:25,285
after eight years. If you look all the
best practice after eight years,

332
00:21:25,285 --> 00:21:31,987
they are lower in quality. Like usually
the first year are not the best because
they

333
00:21:31,987 --> 00:21:34,718
need to learn how to do it. Then there is
a peak.

334
00:21:34,718 --> 00:21:40,199
It's like a life cycle. And the peak is
the moment in which the PB achieves

335
00:21:40,199 --> 00:21:43,410
his best outcomes. This closes this
feedback loop.

336
00:21:43,822 --> 00:21:48,764
Often there are political ~ positive
feedback in which the mayor gets
re-elected

337
00:21:49,204 --> 00:21:52,546
or the group supporting it gets a lot of
visibility.

338
00:21:52,546 --> 00:21:57,328
But then there is almost like a glass
ceiling of what it can do,

339
00:21:57,328 --> 00:22:02,170
right? ~ All the easy wins have been
achieved in the first few years.

340
00:22:02,170 --> 00:22:06,602
And then there are a lot of pesky problems
that the citizens would like

341
00:22:06,602 --> 00:22:13,405
to solve via PB. But they're really hard
to solve due to the complex ecosystem

342
00:22:13,405 --> 00:22:14,405
of a

343
00:22:13,725 --> 00:22:16,162
it here, right? There are... ~

344
00:22:16,264 --> 00:22:19,746
there are problems that are politically
extremely complicated,

345
00:22:19,746 --> 00:22:23,898
but that appear easy for the citizens and
they get channeled through

346
00:22:24,018 --> 00:22:28,119
PB and that's when short circuits start
happening.

347
00:22:28,119 --> 00:22:32,591
then there is all sort of life cycle
issues like politicians do

348
00:22:32,591 --> 00:22:36,453
not get reelected because it requires a
lot of work,

349
00:22:36,453 --> 00:22:42,806
it's politically costly. So PB2B is the
best at generating trust and it's also

350
00:22:42,806 --> 00:22:45,368
the best university for civil servants.

351
00:22:46,278 --> 00:22:49,069
I remember the civil servants were all
annoyed at the beginning,

352
00:22:49,069 --> 00:22:50,929
but then after a while they were saying,

353
00:22:50,929 --> 00:22:54,030
~ now I know so much more about the city.

354
00:22:54,030 --> 00:22:56,840
People recognize me in the city.

355
00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:58,711
When I go around, people stop me.

356
00:22:58,711 --> 00:23:04,252
So there are very interesting ~ learning
for

357
00:23:04,252 --> 00:23:07,250
the city machine that are very rarely
studied.

358
00:23:07,250 --> 00:23:13,103
I keep asking in my grants on PB to study
the civil servant learning,

359
00:23:13,103 --> 00:23:15,154
but it's not a very...

360
00:23:16,174 --> 00:23:19,135
sexy ~ topic that gets you money.

361
00:23:19,135 --> 00:23:23,596
All the topics are about, we're going to
make the citizens better,

362
00:23:23,596 --> 00:23:25,058
we're going to defend democracy.

363
00:23:25,058 --> 00:23:30,051
And instead, think one of the best
outcomes is really the PB

364
00:23:30,051 --> 00:23:35,003
is the university for the civil servants.

365
00:23:35,003 --> 00:23:40,425
Really to open them up to dialogue with
the city and to the difficulty of the
city.

366
00:23:40,425 --> 00:23:41,425
Because if you think about it,

367
00:23:41,410 --> 00:23:44,487
it's a sensor. It's a decentralized,

368
00:23:44,487 --> 00:23:45,878
low-cost sensor.

369
00:23:46,120 --> 00:23:48,592
in which the civil society organization,

370
00:23:48,592 --> 00:23:53,766
the common citizen bring problems and a
lot of them cannot be solved,

371
00:23:53,766 --> 00:23:57,569
but they're brought in a more propositive
way,

372
00:23:57,569 --> 00:24:04,195
in a less conflictual way. ~ And also it
bypass a bit,

373
00:24:04,195 --> 00:24:07,197
not always, but it bypass

374
00:24:07,517 --> 00:24:14,323
a existing barrier of communicating this
problem.

375
00:24:15,964 --> 00:24:20,727
students has just done a fascinating study
on a different topic

376
00:24:21,328 --> 00:24:27,092
on a project done by COVID by Boris
Johnson.

377
00:24:27,092 --> 00:24:32,335
Obviously they didn't know anything and
they thought there was

378
00:24:32,335 --> 00:24:34,797
no other voluntary sector in the UK.

379
00:24:34,797 --> 00:24:39,380
And so from the top they created an app
and a system

380
00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:45,664
to ~ allocate random volunteers to bring
food to health

381
00:24:45,945 --> 00:24:50,793
people they were stuck in the house
because for their weak condition they
couldn't

382
00:24:50,793 --> 00:24:54,479
go buy grocery or they didn't have the
money to use the liver.

383
00:24:54,479 --> 00:24:56,142
What is

384
00:24:56,676 --> 00:25:01,029
Obviously, there was a massive reaction
because the UK is one of the most vibrant,

385
00:25:01,029 --> 00:25:06,992
vibrant, voluntary sector. It's just that
Boris Johnson had no clue about it.

386
00:25:06,992 --> 00:25:11,475
And so obviously, all these voluntarities,

387
00:25:11,475 --> 00:25:16,078
existing voluntarities sector at the local
level were really annoyed and said,

388
00:25:16,078 --> 00:25:17,739
why you didn't talk to us? Right.

389
00:25:17,739 --> 00:25:22,482
And also, they were scared that the system
will crowd out.

390
00:25:23,036 --> 00:25:26,220
their work, right? Because if you're
volunteering for that system,

391
00:25:26,220 --> 00:25:27,491
you're not volunteering for me.

392
00:25:27,491 --> 00:25:32,417
What was interesting that in the unique
situation of COVID,

393
00:25:32,417 --> 00:25:34,659
a lot of people didn't have a job anymore,

394
00:25:34,659 --> 00:25:39,185
they're working from home. A lot of people
volunteer for both first,

395
00:25:39,185 --> 00:25:40,326
but

396
00:25:40,658 --> 00:25:44,520
The key, and this is the connection with
participatory budgeting,

397
00:25:44,520 --> 00:25:49,902
is that for the first time, ~ a lot of
minorities volunteered.

398
00:25:49,902 --> 00:25:55,185
If we look at the shape of volunteers in
the UK,

399
00:25:55,185 --> 00:25:59,177
it's most elderly white people that have a
lot of time,

400
00:25:59,177 --> 00:26:01,568
they're educated, they've been...

401
00:26:01,568 --> 00:26:04,709
People from minority do not participate,

402
00:26:04,709 --> 00:26:10,372
right? And I think that's the same very
nice entry point of participatory
budgeting.

403
00:26:10,592 --> 00:26:16,325
Sometimes, not always, it allows for
minorities to participate because it's
easy

404
00:26:16,325 --> 00:26:19,417
to propose ideas. It doesn't require a lot
of time.

405
00:26:19,417 --> 00:26:21,918
And then it's difficult to win,

406
00:26:21,918 --> 00:26:25,010
right? Obviously to win in participatory
budgeting,

407
00:26:25,010 --> 00:26:27,822
you need the machinery, but to propose
ideas,

408
00:26:27,822 --> 00:26:29,743
it's easy. Okay, that's it PB.

409
00:26:29,743 --> 00:26:32,324
When we are looking at mini publics,

410
00:26:32,324 --> 00:26:34,946
I think... ~

411
00:26:35,228 --> 00:26:36,819
the current generation, right?

412
00:26:36,819 --> 00:26:42,122
It's very important to distinguish between
the first best we have not achieved yet,

413
00:26:42,122 --> 00:26:45,444
and it's still a bit far away,

414
00:26:45,444 --> 00:26:49,946
and the current sort of pilots that we
have seen.

415
00:26:49,946 --> 00:26:53,448
So in the current pilots, to me,

416
00:26:53,448 --> 00:26:56,570
the biggest effect around the
participants,

417
00:26:57,498 --> 00:27:00,319
and they are an increase in efficacy.

418
00:27:00,319 --> 00:27:06,382
The idea that you can contribute
effectively

419
00:27:06,382 --> 00:27:09,874
to politics, an increase in learning.

420
00:27:09,874 --> 00:27:14,506
And if the recruitment has managed

421
00:27:14,526 --> 00:27:20,309
to achieve ~ participants that are not
already highly interested in politics,

422
00:27:20,309 --> 00:27:23,000
not already participating a lot,

423
00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:27,372
there is also potentially an increase in
what they want to

424
00:27:27,402 --> 00:27:33,156
do after, right? ~ But ~ the political
impact

425
00:27:33,916 --> 00:27:38,139
of citizen assembly is problematic for
structural reasons.

426
00:27:38,139 --> 00:27:42,802
It's consultative, right? PB is created

427
00:27:43,123 --> 00:27:49,036
to be safe because the city sets aside a
little bit of money that is nothing

428
00:27:49,036 --> 00:27:51,868
for the city and it lets people play with
it.

429
00:27:51,868 --> 00:27:55,411
So it's almost like a safe democratic
game.

430
00:27:55,411 --> 00:27:57,312
It still costs

431
00:27:57,264 --> 00:27:58,264
Mostly

432
00:27:57,734 --> 00:27:59,344
it can still generate problem,

433
00:27:59,344 --> 00:28:03,265
but it's safer. With citizen assembly,

434
00:28:03,265 --> 00:28:08,066
sometimes they go into very complicated
and difficult problems.

435
00:28:08,066 --> 00:28:11,077
And so they stay consultative.

436
00:28:11,077 --> 00:28:13,478
And then the problem is cherry picking,

437
00:28:13,478 --> 00:28:18,489
right? That it's being discussed a million
times in which,

438
00:28:18,489 --> 00:28:23,210
yes, the citizen assembly does an amazing
amount of creation of ideas.

439
00:28:23,922 --> 00:28:28,758
but then there is a second step about
implementation and what's gonna happen
there,

440
00:28:28,758 --> 00:28:31,931
it's unclear. And so that to me,

441
00:28:31,931 --> 00:28:35,856
but again, I couldn't prove it,

442
00:28:35,856 --> 00:28:40,461
right? This is experiential having
organized,

443
00:28:40,461 --> 00:28:41,461
I don't know.

444
00:28:42,366 --> 00:28:47,968
200 democratic innovation and seeing more
participatory budgeting.

445
00:28:47,968 --> 00:28:50,259
think Citizen Assembly, I lost count,

446
00:28:50,259 --> 00:28:54,060
but ~ I'm not one of the big implementers
of Citizen Assembly,

447
00:28:54,060 --> 00:28:56,231
but I've done 30, something like that.

448
00:28:56,231 --> 00:29:01,113
I call Citizen Assembly, but in reality
it's mostly like a variety of mini
publics.

449
00:29:01,592 --> 00:29:04,113
~

450
00:29:04,113 --> 00:29:08,595
I was thinking also commitment can be an
issue in relation

451
00:29:08,595 --> 00:29:14,807
to participatory budgeting ~ because as
you said most of the time maybe it's just

452
00:29:14,807 --> 00:29:19,679
consultative so they can decide if to
follow the output of this.

453
00:29:19,026 --> 00:29:20,027
BB no,

454
00:29:20,448 --> 00:29:24,872
we participatory budgeting, if it's the
definition of symptom air,

455
00:29:24,872 --> 00:29:26,734
it's not consultative.

456
00:29:28,230 --> 00:29:32,672
So there are consultative PB, particularly
in Germany,

457
00:29:32,672 --> 00:29:35,753
but they all died. That's kind of
established,

458
00:29:35,753 --> 00:29:37,343
right? If you do a consultative PB,

459
00:29:37,343 --> 00:29:41,475
it dies off. There is a very nice paper
again from Giovanni Legretti

460
00:29:41,475 --> 00:29:46,246
on Portugal that shows that the first
generation of PB in Portugal implemented

461
00:29:46,246 --> 00:29:50,018
in 2004 were all consultative,

462
00:29:50,018 --> 00:29:53,399
apart a few. When the crisis of 2008
arrives,

463
00:29:53,399 --> 00:29:56,920
all the consultative die, the
non-consultative stay.

464
00:29:57,600 --> 00:30:00,593
And then Portugal in that moment really
exploded,

465
00:30:00,593 --> 00:30:04,055
became the country with the most PB in the
world apart the countries in which

466
00:30:04,055 --> 00:30:06,407
PB is mandated by the government like
Peru.

467
00:30:06,407 --> 00:30:11,511
~ But PB is the power in a sense,

468
00:30:11,511 --> 00:30:13,993
not by the fact that it's consultative,

469
00:30:13,993 --> 00:30:19,978
but by the fact that the budget you give
to PB is a joke compared to

470
00:30:19,978 --> 00:30:24,001
the budget of the city. I have this story
I always tell my students after

471
00:30:24,001 --> 00:30:27,264
I make them enamored, I like to confuse my
students.

472
00:30:27,314 --> 00:30:31,467
So I usually make them fall in love with
something and then I tell them

473
00:30:31,467 --> 00:30:33,308
it doesn't work. It's kind of my way.

474
00:30:33,308 --> 00:30:39,222
And so after teaching PB, I recount the
story of when I helped Josh Lerner,

475
00:30:39,222 --> 00:30:45,276
there was the PBP CEO come to Vancouver
because I was a postdoc there.

476
00:30:45,276 --> 00:30:51,790
I was working for PBP Pro Bono and I
invited them to present participatory
budgeting

477
00:30:51,790 --> 00:30:55,923
because Vancouver was already doing a
million participatory planning things,

478
00:30:55,923 --> 00:30:57,184
citizen asset.

479
00:30:57,184 --> 00:31:02,367
I was curious, PB was being relaunched by
the PBP project.

480
00:31:02,367 --> 00:31:06,129
And so Josh comes, he does his usual
spill,

481
00:31:06,129 --> 00:31:11,592
and the room is full of the Department of
Communication,

482
00:31:11,592 --> 00:31:16,534
Engagement, Youth Engagement. We are an
hour in,

483
00:31:16,534 --> 00:31:18,815
and three people in a suit come in,

484
00:31:18,815 --> 00:31:22,120
and they sit, they listen for one minute,

485
00:31:22,120 --> 00:31:23,198
and there is the end.

486
00:31:24,062 --> 00:31:25,724
and they introduce themselves and they
say,

487
00:31:25,724 --> 00:31:28,676
I'm the chief of planning, like the people
that count,

488
00:31:28,676 --> 00:31:30,608
not the communication and engagement.

489
00:31:30,608 --> 00:31:32,709
And they ask, how much money do you need?

490
00:31:32,709 --> 00:31:36,893
And Josh said, we recommend

491
00:31:36,893 --> 00:31:42,768
~ one million Canadian dollars for a
district because it's

492
00:31:42,768 --> 00:31:46,882
a nice symbolic amount of money as a
minimum.

493
00:31:48,048 --> 00:31:49,640
And the guy of planning for, yeah,

494
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:54,505
you can have it. But do you understand
that it's a lipstick on a peg?

495
00:31:54,505 --> 00:31:56,968
My budget is two billion dollars.

496
00:31:56,968 --> 00:32:00,902
And he leaves. Right.

497
00:32:00,902 --> 00:32:06,298
So so PD is sort of is doing this feedback
loop.

498
00:32:01,336 --> 00:32:02,336
So.

499
00:32:06,748 --> 00:32:10,581
but within a safe environment,

500
00:32:10,581 --> 00:32:15,916
right? You cannot do much. And if you
think about the way also the money is
divided,

501
00:32:15,916 --> 00:32:20,850
it's one million, but you don't ask one
million.

502
00:32:21,822 --> 00:32:26,404
The objective of PB is really designed as
a tournament to maximize the winners.

503
00:32:26,404 --> 00:32:30,276
It's really well designed from a game ~
design perspective,

504
00:32:30,276 --> 00:32:32,137
not game theory, actual game design,

505
00:32:32,137 --> 00:32:35,849
right? Because a lot of people win and in
a game,

506
00:32:35,849 --> 00:32:40,771
if you want to maximize the feeling of
sort of satisfaction,

507
00:32:40,771 --> 00:32:42,392
you want to have a lot of winner.

508
00:32:42,392 --> 00:32:44,473
It's like the first level of a video game.

509
00:32:44,473 --> 00:32:47,754
It's very easy. You win easy, then it
becomes difficult,

510
00:32:47,754 --> 00:32:50,736
right? And so the million dollar,

511
00:32:51,556 --> 00:32:55,679
at maximum you can propose a project of
100,000.

512
00:32:55,679 --> 00:32:59,001
So you have 10 winners, right?

513
00:32:59,001 --> 00:33:02,894
And so all those little rules are really,

514
00:33:02,894 --> 00:33:08,307
that have evolved over time, are really
designed for engagement.

515
00:33:08,307 --> 00:33:11,479
But it comes from the origin.

516
00:33:11,479 --> 00:33:13,671
When I interviewed in Porto Allegre,

517
00:33:13,671 --> 00:33:19,445
Ubiratande and Susa Santos, that it's
really the mind behind PB together with
Arsene

518
00:33:19,445 --> 00:33:20,816
General and a few others.

519
00:33:21,496 --> 00:33:27,693
he told me straight PB is a hook to engage
people that

520
00:33:27,693 --> 00:33:32,688
are disengaged so that they come to the
workers party and we select

521
00:33:32,728 --> 00:33:37,874
the leaders that we need to do our process
it was very clear

522
00:33:38,715 --> 00:33:41,698
and that's how it was started right it was
a

523
00:33:41,790 --> 00:33:44,951
~ from their standpoints that's how the PT
used.

524
00:33:44,951 --> 00:33:50,684
Then it was modified, it was transformed
in a neutral approach that

525
00:33:50,684 --> 00:33:55,156
is governance driven. But the genetics

526
00:33:55,797 --> 00:33:59,968
is about really making sort of engaging
people,

527
00:33:59,968 --> 00:34:06,081
identifying leaders, re-engineerize social
groups at the local level because

528
00:34:06,261 --> 00:34:11,384
you can establish rules that give ~ more
advantages

529
00:34:11,804 --> 00:34:15,906
groups, right? That was typical in the
first generation of PB.

530
00:34:15,906 --> 00:34:22,679
You got more votes if you got more people
in your group proposing

531
00:34:22,679 --> 00:34:27,331
the idea. And so that pushed civil society
growth.

532
00:34:27,331 --> 00:34:30,032
It was dragged, but it still pushed it,

533
00:34:30,032 --> 00:34:33,793
right? And so it's an incentive system.

534
00:34:33,793 --> 00:34:34,974
~ But

535
00:34:35,694 --> 00:34:38,335
it remained safe in the modern model.

536
00:34:38,335 --> 00:34:42,458
In the early Brazilian system,

537
00:34:42,458 --> 00:34:48,534
the money was not set aside. So it was
more vague,

538
00:34:48,534 --> 00:34:51,235
more nebulous, right? And in Porto Alegre,

539
00:34:51,235 --> 00:34:55,309
at a certain moment, it was 20 % of the
investment of the city.

540
00:34:55,309 --> 00:34:59,773
So massive, right? ~ But if you look at...

541
00:34:59,773 --> 00:35:01,154
~

542
00:35:01,276 --> 00:35:08,159
modern PB and in fact there is the famous
paper of Baiocchi and Ganuzza that call

543
00:35:08,159 --> 00:35:12,511
it a sort of decathenated PB,

544
00:35:12,511 --> 00:35:17,494
right? They have really removed the
radical ~ approach.

545
00:35:17,494 --> 00:35:20,645
So there is a really nice evolution.

546
00:35:20,645 --> 00:35:27,208
PB starts very radical and it becomes less
radical over time when it explodes

547
00:35:27,208 --> 00:35:29,409
in the world. But it's still very
interesting,

548
00:35:29,409 --> 00:35:31,200
right? I like to think

549
00:35:31,312 --> 00:35:35,575
of it as a democratic game, again a
democratic school.

550
00:35:35,575 --> 00:35:38,638
People don't like it, I never published it
because they told me,

551
00:35:38,638 --> 00:35:42,631
no, you are belittling the democratic
innovation,

552
00:35:42,631 --> 00:35:44,933
right? If you call it a game, again,

553
00:35:44,933 --> 00:35:47,925
this problem of we are in a movement,

554
00:35:47,925 --> 00:35:51,108
right? If you're criticizing the movement,

555
00:35:51,108 --> 00:35:57,223
~ it's complicated. So we have one paper
that is called Democracy

556
00:35:57,223 --> 00:36:01,056
is a Serious Game that was just presented
and never published.

557
00:36:01,237 --> 00:36:06,461
because we got such a negative reaction to
the idea of calling participatory budget

558
00:36:06,461 --> 00:36:07,574
in a democratic game.

559
00:36:09,284 --> 00:36:12,486
And what can be improved?

560
00:36:12,486 --> 00:36:18,111
if we think about a possible next
generation of...

561
00:36:18,111 --> 00:36:23,975
~ And also this can be maybe related to
the concept of scaling,

562
00:36:23,975 --> 00:36:28,739
also how to scale ~ this kind of part.

563
00:36:24,658 --> 00:36:28,068
Yeah, let's go into scaling.

564
00:36:29,694 --> 00:36:31,138
So. ~

565
00:36:33,722 --> 00:36:38,605
It's really funny because I was one of the
very

566
00:36:38,685 --> 00:36:45,039
few people within the deliberative
democracy that was really doing scaling
around

567
00:36:45,039 --> 00:36:51,652
2012-2013. I did this experiment in Italy
with a group from Bologna

568
00:36:51,652 --> 00:36:57,615
of the Italian Democratic Party in which
we used argument mapping

569
00:36:57,776 --> 00:37:00,677
online to discuss the electoral law.

570
00:37:00,677 --> 00:37:02,178
~

571
00:37:03,096 --> 00:37:07,586
that was done in 2013 and...

572
00:37:08,142 --> 00:37:10,533
the process was called Insieme per il PB,

573
00:37:10,533 --> 00:37:15,124
it was with the group of Gotzi that now is
in France.

574
00:37:15,124 --> 00:37:19,705
It was a weird group of Catholic and
leftist together,

575
00:37:19,705 --> 00:37:22,726
but very, very nice, a very nice process.

576
00:37:22,726 --> 00:37:25,807
I was coming from face to face from
Brazil,

577
00:37:25,807 --> 00:37:28,487
completely skeptical about the tech.

578
00:37:28,487 --> 00:37:34,069
That was the first time in which I saw
that online deliberation could

579
00:37:34,069 --> 00:37:37,550
be better than face to face deliberation
when well organized.

580
00:37:38,384 --> 00:37:43,319
And I started saying those things in a
field that didn't like those things.

581
00:37:43,319 --> 00:37:49,144
And so it was very funny. Like people were
no online interaction are terrible.

582
00:37:49,144 --> 00:37:52,448
They don't work. You lose so much
information.

583
00:37:52,448 --> 00:37:54,349
I yes on Facebook.

584
00:37:54,974 --> 00:38:00,106
~ If you have a community of interested
people that want to use

585
00:38:00,106 --> 00:38:02,677
the technology and really want to,

586
00:38:02,677 --> 00:38:05,758
and you have a good platform,

587
00:38:05,758 --> 00:38:09,160
the outcome can be better,

588
00:38:09,160 --> 00:38:13,722
right? And I had the data to show it.

589
00:38:15,431 --> 00:38:18,974
And I had seen it, right? The quality of
argumentation.

590
00:38:18,974 --> 00:38:20,895
Obviously it was a lead process.

591
00:38:20,895 --> 00:38:25,420
That was not ~ massive, but it was a lead
within a political party.

592
00:38:25,420 --> 00:38:28,653
And there was the start,

593
00:38:28,653 --> 00:38:32,386
like we had an online deliberation among
600 people.

594
00:38:32,386 --> 00:38:36,309
For a month, they built an argument map
that it's not easy.

595
00:38:37,112 --> 00:38:39,783
And we had a lot of people participation,

596
00:38:39,783 --> 00:38:43,725
like 60 out of 600 contributing to the
map.

597
00:38:43,725 --> 00:38:46,977
Like almost everybody participated in
something.

598
00:38:46,977 --> 00:38:49,288
So fascinating, fascinating example.

599
00:38:49,288 --> 00:38:55,851
~ Then the big switch that was fascinating
to observe was COVID.

600
00:38:55,851 --> 00:39:00,653
And it was driven by the implementers that
had been paid to

601
00:39:00,653 --> 00:39:03,654
do a face-to-face process and couldn't do
it anymore.

602
00:39:03,654 --> 00:39:06,896
So they all moved to Zoom with all the

603
00:39:06,976 --> 00:39:09,176
of transparency and using Zoom.

604
00:39:09,176 --> 00:39:12,496
And there was almost a flip and

605
00:39:12,496 --> 00:39:16,196
now online became ubiquitous,

606
00:39:16,196 --> 00:39:21,436
right? And now a lot of citizen assembly
have

607
00:39:21,436 --> 00:39:26,076
an online moment among the participants,

608
00:39:26,076 --> 00:39:30,696
but the citizen assembly are still
relatively small,

609
00:39:30,696 --> 00:39:34,896
up to 100 to 100 people. There are some
experiments that are doing it bigger.

610
00:39:36,834 --> 00:39:41,432
and there are these attempts to involve
the maxi public in

611
00:39:41,432 --> 00:39:47,752
the city assembly sometimes are done
sometimes are not done the one I've seen
rarely

612
00:39:47,752 --> 00:39:48,752
are done well

613
00:39:49,158 --> 00:39:52,199
You just open up a website, you ask for
comments,

614
00:39:52,199 --> 00:39:53,690
you generate, if you're lucky,

615
00:39:53,690 --> 00:39:57,521
a gazillion comments, and then you don't
know what to do with it because

616
00:39:58,161 --> 00:40:01,062
how do you give the assembly a gazillion
comments,

617
00:40:01,062 --> 00:40:03,993
right? So if you have the energy,

618
00:40:03,993 --> 00:40:06,004
you summarize them. Now with AI,

619
00:40:06,004 --> 00:40:07,404
you can do all sorts of summaries,

620
00:40:07,404 --> 00:40:11,726
but the transmission problem is a crucial
problem.

621
00:40:12,342 --> 00:40:17,935
And the other issue, if we are really
serious about citizen assembly from

622
00:40:17,935 --> 00:40:23,027
an epistemic standpoint, and now Elen
Landemore is talking about this,

623
00:40:23,027 --> 00:40:26,809
I think we cannot have one assembly,

624
00:40:26,809 --> 00:40:31,271
right? Because there is group bias and
there is a lot of studies about group
bias.

625
00:40:31,271 --> 00:40:37,074
We wouldn't have to have a galaxy of
citizen assembly that work at the same
time

626
00:40:37,074 --> 00:40:42,126
on the same topic, and then a smart
transmission system that combines

627
00:40:42,196 --> 00:40:46,119
it. A little bit like what America Speaks
was doing in 2004-2008.

628
00:40:46,119 --> 00:40:49,861
That was the early, early time,

629
00:40:49,861 --> 00:40:53,564
right? But that to me is the interesting
future.

630
00:40:53,564 --> 00:40:58,847
~ And that and so if I had to organize
like

631
00:40:58,967 --> 00:41:01,489
my gold standard citizen assembly,

632
00:41:01,489 --> 00:41:07,433
I would probably do something in 10 cities
at the same time on the same topic

633
00:41:08,033 --> 00:41:12,096
and with a transmission system plus a
mechanism to involve seriously

634
00:41:12,146 --> 00:41:18,819
the maxi public like open to all events
and and and the last element

635
00:41:18,819 --> 00:41:25,352
is that there is a lot of hype about the
engagement system right

636
00:41:25,352 --> 00:41:29,704
so these i've wrote a paper that annoyed a
lot of people again i like

637
00:41:29,704 --> 00:41:32,476
to do that there was on

638
00:41:33,566 --> 00:41:36,266
the over claiming of representation.

639
00:41:36,266 --> 00:41:42,586
If you look at the acceptance rate of the
vast majority of citizen assembly,

640
00:41:42,586 --> 00:41:47,326
by acceptance rate, I mean how many people
when invited say,

641
00:41:47,326 --> 00:41:52,126
yes, I would like to participate is below
5%.

642
00:41:52,126 --> 00:41:57,526
So yes, you send 10,000 invitation.

643
00:41:58,014 --> 00:42:00,514
two, three hundred people say yes.

644
00:42:00,514 --> 00:42:03,254
Then what does the citizen assembly does?

645
00:42:03,254 --> 00:42:06,694
They do the randomization even with the
new fancy algorithms,

646
00:42:06,694 --> 00:42:09,634
right? The one that was published in
Nature from my friend.

647
00:42:09,634 --> 00:42:14,774
Those are amazing important algorithms
that rebalance various things

648
00:42:14,774 --> 00:42:20,774
and they make it more fair, but they make
it more fair in those among those

649
00:42:20,774 --> 00:42:26,954
200 people, not with respect the overall
10,000 you have sent.

650
00:42:27,696 --> 00:42:30,428
And so what's the issue? Because you don't
have data on those 10,000.

651
00:42:30,428 --> 00:42:35,851
You know very little. There is no way to
rebalance things.

652
00:42:35,443 --> 00:42:36,443
you

653
00:42:35,851 --> 00:42:37,862
At most, you know their address.

654
00:42:37,862 --> 00:42:39,633
And if you have data on the address,

655
00:42:39,633 --> 00:42:43,045
sometimes we have information about the
address,

656
00:42:43,045 --> 00:42:45,236
right? So you might know the gender.

657
00:42:43,767 --> 00:42:44,767
Okay.

658
00:42:45,236 --> 00:42:47,437
And so there is an issue.

659
00:42:48,846 --> 00:42:53,988
on representativity that needs to be
solved by spending more money

660
00:42:54,409 --> 00:42:59,191
on engagement, by using multiple channels
of engagement,

661
00:42:59,191 --> 00:43:03,053
by knocking on doors, by using social
media,

662
00:43:03,053 --> 00:43:06,934
instead of being very cheap on this type
of engagement.

663
00:43:06,934 --> 00:43:12,947
And one of the most interesting debates is
about how much money we should give

664
00:43:08,171 --> 00:43:09,171
Yeah.

665
00:43:12,947 --> 00:43:18,680
to participants. Because one of the claims
of many practitioners is that if we

666
00:43:18,820 --> 00:43:22,543
pay them more, we will see the acceptance
rate go up.

667
00:43:22,543 --> 00:43:24,384
So the problem is purely resource.

668
00:43:24,384 --> 00:43:29,747
But there was a very recent case done in
Austria ~

669
00:43:29,747 --> 00:43:35,301
by and it's published on the Journal of
Sortition in which they paid every

670
00:43:35,301 --> 00:43:38,673
participant 1,500 euros.

671
00:43:38,673 --> 00:43:42,076
Right. That was the invitation for
weekend.

672
00:43:42,076 --> 00:43:45,258
So you got 3,000 if you came two weekends.

673
00:43:45,258 --> 00:43:48,640
Right. That's a stipend. It's the highest
pay.

674
00:43:49,113 --> 00:43:51,775
ever done in history for a citizen
assembly.

675
00:43:51,775 --> 00:43:55,735
The acceptance rate went up to 10%.

676
00:43:55,735 --> 00:43:58,821
Still, 90 % of the people did not come.

677
00:43:58,821 --> 00:44:04,866
So the reason of not coming are not about
the money.

678
00:44:05,436 --> 00:44:08,617
there are other reasons, whatever they
are.

679
00:44:08,617 --> 00:44:12,339
And there is very little studies about the
reason like we have done one,

680
00:44:12,339 --> 00:44:14,390
there is another famous qualitative one,

681
00:44:14,390 --> 00:44:16,271
but that's a crucial direction.

682
00:44:16,271 --> 00:44:22,840
If we want to make this thing legitimate
and sell them on the marketing that they

683
00:44:22,840 --> 00:44:25,655
are representative, because we could sell
them in another way.

684
00:44:25,655 --> 00:44:29,247
And that's my point. My point is at this
stage,

685
00:44:29,247 --> 00:44:31,788
these things are not representative.

686
00:44:31,788 --> 00:44:33,639
We cannot say that they're representative,

687
00:44:33,639 --> 00:44:35,320
right? We should sell

688
00:44:35,390 --> 00:44:37,581
them on a Republican argument.

689
00:44:37,581 --> 00:44:42,825
The randomization allows you to prevent
interest group to capture them.

690
00:44:42,825 --> 00:44:48,469
That I stand behind. It's really harder to
capture a citizen assembly because

691
00:44:48,469 --> 00:44:50,910
you cannot flood it with your
confederates,

692
00:44:50,910 --> 00:44:54,503
right? You have to do very legal things,

693
00:44:54,503 --> 00:44:56,904
right? You need to pay the participants,

694
00:44:56,904 --> 00:44:58,555
you need to pay the moderators,

695
00:44:58,555 --> 00:45:01,738
you need to pay the expert. But those are
things that are easier

696
00:45:01,738 --> 00:45:05,230
to track than flooding with your
confederates.

697
00:45:05,481 --> 00:45:11,050
So I would justify that way and not on
representation until

698
00:45:11,551 --> 00:45:15,357
we figure out how to push up the
acceptance rate.

699
00:45:18,147 --> 00:45:20,409
Yeah, I was not expecting this,

700
00:45:20,409 --> 00:45:25,292
to be honest. I also thought that giving
more money would raise the participation.

701
00:45:25,722 --> 00:45:27,803
It's a fascinating show that paper

702
00:45:27,803 --> 00:45:29,504
in the general petition. I said,

703
00:45:29,504 --> 00:45:35,527
OK, because I had a discussion with Kyle
Redman in a a blog ~ and he said,

704
00:45:35,527 --> 00:45:38,928
no, but the problem of a sentence rate is
solvable.

705
00:45:38,928 --> 00:45:43,150
It's more money and institutionalization
make it mandatory.

706
00:45:43,150 --> 00:45:47,512
But I already knew that make it mandatory
doesn't solve it because

707
00:45:47,512 --> 00:45:52,975
we have pulled the work on the juries in
the US and the juries in the

708
00:45:52,975 --> 00:45:55,376
US are not representative of the
population.

709
00:45:55,408 --> 00:46:01,708
because are highly skewed, because there
are ways to get away from mandatory stuff,

710
00:46:01,708 --> 00:46:06,348
And so I, and the money was still open.

711
00:46:06,348 --> 00:46:11,728
Again, it's one data point. So it might be
a very unusual case.

712
00:46:11,728 --> 00:46:14,768
I talked to the implementer and asked them
why,

713
00:46:14,768 --> 00:46:18,168
because I don't know, 3000 euros,

714
00:46:18,168 --> 00:46:21,968
because the argument, oh no, I want to
stay with my kids.

715
00:46:21,968 --> 00:46:25,308
Yes, but you know, I pay baby

716
00:46:25,312 --> 00:46:29,412
and then we go doing an amazing vacation
with 3000 euros.

717
00:46:29,412 --> 00:46:33,912
So I was expecting that at least 50%.

718
00:46:33,912 --> 00:46:39,092
By the way, we did 50 % in a citizen
assembly acceptance rate on what?

719
00:46:39,092 --> 00:46:41,472
On Brexit, right?

720
00:46:41,662 --> 00:46:46,402
So when the topic is in the mind of
everybody,

721
00:46:46,402 --> 00:46:51,662
you get to 50%. The other person that
consistently does

722
00:46:51,662 --> 00:46:55,642
70 % plus acceptance rate is Jim Fishkin,

723
00:46:55,642 --> 00:47:00,682
but he spends 200,000 euros plus on
engagement

724
00:47:00,682 --> 00:47:06,822
and he uses the same teams that use
marketing research that call people

725
00:47:06,822 --> 00:47:11,422
a million times and they really call and
call and call and call.

726
00:47:12,057 --> 00:47:15,780
And instead, the standard approach that
Citi is,

727
00:47:15,780 --> 00:47:17,412
but also Certisium Foundation,

728
00:47:17,412 --> 00:47:19,584
that is the kind of the biggest provider,

729
00:47:19,584 --> 00:47:20,905
is to send one letter.

730
00:47:23,427 --> 00:47:27,851
And I was thinking in relation to
political parties

731
00:47:27,851 --> 00:47:34,797
~ because we said that online citizen
assembly could work

732
00:47:34,797 --> 00:47:40,442
and sometimes also better than maybe
offline citizen assembly ~ and

733
00:47:40,442 --> 00:47:45,997
so associated to the concept of scaling
like because you know also

734
00:47:45,997 --> 00:47:49,050
in Italy there was the five-star movement
and ~

735
00:47:49,705 --> 00:47:53,516
and they tried with the Russo platform
back then maybe the technology was

736
00:47:53,516 --> 00:47:58,838
not very ~ mature like AI didn't exist in
the way that

737
00:47:58,938 --> 00:48:04,439
we know it and so I'm thinking like ~

738
00:48:04,439 --> 00:48:09,341
how could be like a possible way of
scaling in relation to political parties

739
00:48:09,341 --> 00:48:13,322
~ because as just

740
00:48:11,496 --> 00:48:13,601
So the political

741
00:48:13,764 --> 00:48:14,764
parties.

742
00:48:15,112 --> 00:48:18,836
No, just another thing, because at the
moment,

743
00:48:18,836 --> 00:48:22,471
citizen assembly participatory processes ~

744
00:48:22,471 --> 00:48:27,356
are usually held in a specific moment.

745
00:48:27,356 --> 00:48:31,841
maybe, what about something more
continuous,

746
00:48:31,841 --> 00:48:34,885
where people can participate always?

747
00:48:32,563 --> 00:48:33,563
Yeah.

748
00:48:34,885 --> 00:48:35,885
~

749
00:48:36,959 --> 00:48:42,216
There are now experiences of continuous
citizen assembly.

750
00:48:42,916 --> 00:48:44,917
in Italy in theory there is the Milan one,

751
00:48:44,917 --> 00:48:46,338
I don't know anything about it,

752
00:48:46,338 --> 00:48:51,120
but it's so invisible that I'm doubtful
that it's doing much,

753
00:48:51,120 --> 00:48:52,851
but I don't know, maybe it's going.

754
00:48:52,851 --> 00:48:56,979
The classical experience that everybody
cites is the Belgian one,

755
00:48:56,979 --> 00:49:02,565
right? And so there are these
institutionalized citizen assembly that
occur every

756
00:49:02,565 --> 00:49:08,268
year. ~ But within political party there
is still very little.

757
00:49:08,268 --> 00:49:11,659
There is ~ one fascinating thing is that

758
00:49:12,800 --> 00:49:15,500
The researcher I was working in 2012,

759
00:49:15,500 --> 00:49:19,640
the one that brought the opportunity to do
this experiment with the PD,

760
00:49:19,640 --> 00:49:26,340
is the first researcher to talk about
doing citizen assembly in political party.

761
00:49:26,340 --> 00:49:29,160
He had this terrible name about it.

762
00:49:29,160 --> 00:49:31,960
He called D'Oparie. This is Raffaele
Calabretta.

763
00:49:31,960 --> 00:49:37,880
He has a book about it. And he had a very
interesting

764
00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:42,180
and sophisticated idea about it because he
has been working in political parties

765
00:49:42,180 --> 00:49:43,180
for a long time.

766
00:49:42,760 --> 00:49:47,614
time as an activist, his standpoint is
that the citizen assembly within

767
00:49:47,614 --> 00:49:50,926
a political party was thinking more about
deliberative polls and citizen assembly,

768
00:49:50,926 --> 00:49:56,721
but the idea is the same, where should be
used only once

769
00:49:56,721 --> 00:50:00,884
a year and on a topic that really divides
the party.

770
00:50:00,884 --> 00:50:05,868
Because if the party is not divided on
that topic

771
00:50:06,348 --> 00:50:08,370
due to the fact that the

772
00:50:08,786 --> 00:50:12,708
parties competing outside with other
parties,

773
00:50:12,708 --> 00:50:17,790
it is an inefficient system. So it's only
when you are truly in doubt

774
00:50:18,391 --> 00:50:23,673
and in the left, we are often divided and
in doubt among many things,

775
00:50:23,673 --> 00:50:27,615
right? So for example, you can think about
the,

776
00:50:27,615 --> 00:50:30,996
when the, the, ~ the, the,

777
00:50:30,996 --> 00:50:35,859
Olivo that it was this sort of less
constellation of parties that combined

778
00:50:35,859 --> 00:50:38,650
the Catholic and the traditional

779
00:50:38,720 --> 00:50:44,700
former communist was coming together and
they had to decide religious issues

780
00:50:44,700 --> 00:50:48,320
or moral issues. And for Raffaele,

781
00:50:48,320 --> 00:50:53,200
that was a key moment to have a citizen
assembly because the leadership

782
00:50:53,200 --> 00:50:55,580
was not able to come to a decision.

783
00:50:55,580 --> 00:51:00,200
Like his key motivation is when the
leadership is in conflict of interest.

784
00:51:00,200 --> 00:51:04,720
And that comes actually from the origin of
citizen assembly.

785
00:51:04,720 --> 00:51:08,540
The way they implemented the citizen
assembly in British

786
00:51:09,060 --> 00:51:13,523
on the electoral law was the recognition
that the political parties

787
00:51:13,523 --> 00:51:17,106
are in conflict of interest when they're
deciding the electoral law.

788
00:51:17,106 --> 00:51:22,650
so I think that these reflections have
disappeared a little bit.

789
00:51:22,650 --> 00:51:25,872
Now we tend to do citizen assembly on
absolutely anything.

790
00:51:25,872 --> 00:51:29,834
And in my opinion, that weakens the
instrument.

791
00:51:29,834 --> 00:51:34,838
It's only when there is a clear failure

792
00:51:35,290 --> 00:51:39,413
of the politician and the smart politician
recognized that themselves,

793
00:51:39,413 --> 00:51:44,396
then at that point, the Citizen Assembly
can have big impact.

794
00:51:44,396 --> 00:51:49,040
Right. And you can think about the Irish
case also that way,

795
00:51:49,040 --> 00:51:54,163
because in Ireland, the Citizen Assembly
that really worked were

796
00:51:54,163 --> 00:51:59,607
the ones on same sex marriage and
interruption of pregnancy.

797
00:51:59,607 --> 00:52:03,070
And those were issues that were stuck.

798
00:52:03,622 --> 00:52:06,364
and that the political system could not
solve.

799
00:52:06,364 --> 00:52:11,860
~ And those are the ones that were
unstuck,

800
00:52:11,860 --> 00:52:17,465
but they discussed a bunch of other things
and those did not do anything.

801
00:52:17,465 --> 00:52:22,620
They had a lot of impact among the
participants and a lot of other impact,

802
00:52:22,620 --> 00:52:29,086
but they didn't have change in laws and
like the classic public policy stuff.

803
00:52:29,630 --> 00:52:34,112
~ So for applying internal democracy,

804
00:52:34,112 --> 00:52:37,753
it's really important to understand,

805
00:52:37,753 --> 00:52:40,315
and it's probably similar for firm,

806
00:52:40,315 --> 00:52:45,487
I don't study the firm, ~ but that the
agent you're thinking about,

807
00:52:45,487 --> 00:52:46,608
the institution you're thinking about,

808
00:52:46,608 --> 00:52:52,721
has this survival ~ fundamental objective
function through election.

809
00:52:52,721 --> 00:52:58,103
And so your citizen assembly needs not to
conflict with that survival,

810
00:52:58,103 --> 00:52:59,584
need to help. ~

811
00:52:59,684 --> 00:53:04,652
need to be there. But it's really an
underexplorer space,

812
00:53:04,652 --> 00:53:09,410
in part because party members don't want
to do them.

813
00:53:09,410 --> 00:53:10,410
We just did...

814
00:53:10,554 --> 00:53:15,276
a fascinating conjoined experiment in the
UK before the election.

815
00:53:15,276 --> 00:53:20,439
And funny enough, Labour put in their
election manifesto that they wanted

816
00:53:20,439 --> 00:53:26,872
to do a citizen assembly. But then when we
did a conjoined on party members

817
00:53:26,872 --> 00:53:31,924
and party higher echelon and we asked them
what is the configuration

818
00:53:32,244 --> 00:53:36,616
of internal democracy, they don't like
citizen assembly.

819
00:53:36,616 --> 00:53:40,448
They don't want they want only to increase
the power of

820
00:53:40,410 --> 00:53:41,410
members.

821
00:53:41,200 --> 00:53:43,241
So increased direct democracy,

822
00:53:43,241 --> 00:53:48,962
increased oversight. And so that's
fascinating,

823
00:53:48,962 --> 00:53:53,123
~ also intuitive ex post. But ex ante,

824
00:53:53,123 --> 00:53:57,544
we were expecting a completely different
result because Labour was campaigning

825
00:53:57,544 --> 00:54:01,705
a bit on more citizen assembly,

826
00:54:01,705 --> 00:54:03,466
but for the public.

827
00:54:04,426 --> 00:54:08,470
not for the party. And so it's still

828
00:54:08,470 --> 00:54:12,533
a conception of democracy as mobilization,

829
00:54:12,533 --> 00:54:18,628
very similar, if you want to the
traditional leftist conception of
participation.

830
00:54:18,628 --> 00:54:22,782
Participation is when you mobilize for me
and you come and...

831
00:54:23,723 --> 00:54:27,957
and you protest for me or you do the
things that I want.

832
00:54:27,957 --> 00:54:30,089
If you're mobilizing in general,

833
00:54:30,089 --> 00:54:35,734
I'm a bit skeptical. ~ But yeah,

834
00:54:35,734 --> 00:54:38,007
did I only talk about parties?

835
00:54:38,007 --> 00:54:39,688
Yeah, I didn't talk about scaling up.

836
00:54:39,688 --> 00:54:41,660
You were interested in scaling up.

837
00:54:41,660 --> 00:54:43,202
~

838
00:54:42,570 --> 00:54:43,570
Yeah,

839
00:54:43,411 --> 00:54:48,237
I was wondering, yeah, in relation to ~
political parties,

840
00:54:48,237 --> 00:54:50,239
mean, scaling can be also outside of...

841
00:54:51,346 --> 00:54:52,972
Yes, there, like

842
00:54:52,972 --> 00:54:57,188
if you look at the discussion in political
parties about membership,

843
00:54:57,974 --> 00:54:59,895
and the literature of membership.

844
00:54:59,895 --> 00:55:06,388
in Italy, we have the experience of the
primaries of the PD,

845
00:55:06,388 --> 00:55:11,000
the Democratic Party that I liked it
really easily.

846
00:55:11,000 --> 00:55:17,438
There is a tension about involving people
in the Maxi public that

847
00:55:17,438 --> 00:55:21,205
are not members of the party and people
within the party.

848
00:55:21,205 --> 00:55:25,287
And some people are really in favor to
open up primaries to everybody,

849
00:55:25,287 --> 00:55:27,778
but some people are

850
00:55:27,760 --> 00:55:28,760
scared

851
00:55:28,140 --> 00:55:31,962
not because the opposing party will come
in and hijack,

852
00:55:31,962 --> 00:55:37,816
but because it's corruption. You can buy
and there were lots of scandals about it.

853
00:55:37,816 --> 00:55:42,329
Like you could buy a seat in a primary at
the local level with 50,000 euros.

854
00:55:42,329 --> 00:55:44,710
Like somebody have done a study with the
prices,

855
00:55:44,710 --> 00:55:50,153
right? Because you literally buy people to
go for vote for you in the primaries.

856
00:55:50,153 --> 00:55:54,296
And there are not enough checks because
the level of checks are inferior.

857
00:55:54,296 --> 00:55:56,657
But also when

858
00:55:58,262 --> 00:56:02,125
You remember when Renzi won, there was a
lot of discussion because a

859
00:56:02,125 --> 00:56:06,529
lot of people that vote for Renzi were not
the members of the party.

860
00:56:06,529 --> 00:56:09,151
Similar when Elly Schlein won.

861
00:56:09,151 --> 00:56:13,114
Elly won with the people outside of the
party vote.

862
00:56:13,114 --> 00:56:20,000
~ And so there is that tension when you're
thinking

863
00:56:20,000 --> 00:56:26,415
about political parties of who is the
person that should have the decision

864
00:56:26,415 --> 00:56:27,415
on the leader.

865
00:56:28,138 --> 00:56:31,029
And when we did the conjoin, that was one
of the questions.

866
00:56:31,029 --> 00:56:37,020
And we were doing the survey experiment
only with members of the party.

867
00:56:37,020 --> 00:56:40,681
And they were completely against open
primaries.

868
00:56:40,681 --> 00:56:46,383
This is the UK. ~ It doesn't really have a
tradition of primaries anyway.

869
00:56:44,682 --> 00:56:45,682
you

870
00:56:46,383 --> 00:56:52,685
But it would be, think, within the
Democratic Party in Italy,

871
00:56:52,685 --> 00:56:54,965
the debates on primaries keep recurring.

872
00:56:57,746 --> 00:57:03,769
divided, right? And often there was this
joke that the PD is the only party that

873
00:57:03,789 --> 00:57:05,879
consistently loses primaries, right?

874
00:57:05,879 --> 00:57:10,752
Because it's always the candidate from the
outside that's from the green

875
00:57:11,192 --> 00:57:16,755
or from Possibile or from something else
that wins the primary.

876
00:57:16,755 --> 00:57:21,727
And so you can see why the party members
might be annoyed,

877
00:57:21,727 --> 00:57:25,899
right? We have been volunteering for the
parties for 20 years and there

878
00:57:25,899 --> 00:57:27,650
is this new outsider that comes in.

879
00:57:27,740 --> 00:57:32,772
and wins the primaries with the pros and
cons that that involves.

880
00:57:33,060 --> 00:57:34,060
Yeah,

881
00:57:33,340 --> 00:57:37,201
of course. so,

882
00:57:37,201 --> 00:57:41,083
I mean, there is this tension between,

883
00:57:41,083 --> 00:57:43,844
let's say, the leader of the party that,

884
00:57:43,844 --> 00:57:50,047
I mean, the party itself, that maybe would
like

885
00:57:50,047 --> 00:57:53,308
to ~ theoretically engage with citizens,

886
00:57:53,308 --> 00:57:57,590
but then maybe they don't like what
citizens propose.

887
00:57:57,590 --> 00:57:59,131
So...

888
00:57:59,325 --> 00:58:04,281
I'm wondering also how to solve this issue
because I see it's very related

889
00:58:04,281 --> 00:58:08,826
~ to scaling. ~

890
00:58:08,158 --> 00:58:09,158
And I

891
00:58:08,898 --> 00:58:15,878
think so the participatory budgeting has a
lot of sort of funny techniques that have

892
00:58:15,878 --> 00:58:17,718
been experienced because it's one of the
oldest,

893
00:58:17,718 --> 00:58:20,218
right? There are now what 30 years?

894
00:58:20,218 --> 00:58:23,758
1989 were the first 2026.

895
00:58:23,758 --> 00:58:29,418
Yeah. And so, for example, one of the
thing that

896
00:58:29,418 --> 00:58:35,158
is often proposed when you are introducing
PB in a highly conflictual environment

897
00:58:35,158 --> 00:58:38,112
is the fact

898
00:58:38,252 --> 00:58:44,102
that people can criticize but they always
have to propose a solution

899
00:58:44,443 --> 00:58:45,484
to their own critique.

900
00:58:46,398 --> 00:58:52,083
~ And so you can have literally procedural
tricks and

901
00:58:52,243 --> 00:58:58,187
the literature on conflict resolution is
probably the oldest mediation literature.

902
00:58:58,187 --> 00:59:02,371
the facilitation, I'm interested in
facilitation too.

903
00:59:02,371 --> 00:59:07,805
The facilitation literature in
deliberative democracy is standing on

904
00:59:07,805 --> 00:59:11,838
the shoulder on the conflict resolution
and mediation literature

905
00:59:12,259 --> 00:59:15,401
in psychology and in law.

906
00:59:16,314 --> 00:59:18,799
It comes, it's older that stuff.

907
00:59:18,799 --> 00:59:20,162
~

908
00:59:20,324 --> 00:59:23,616
and has been done more for a variety of
reasons.

909
00:59:23,616 --> 00:59:30,419
so conflict resolution has a lot of
procedural approach to reduce.

910
00:59:30,419 --> 00:59:33,480
But the issue is to invest in them,

911
00:59:33,480 --> 00:59:39,803
right? And also to involve people in a
credible dialogue,

912
00:59:39,803 --> 00:59:44,485
because people get annoyed when they are
involved in a non-credible one.

913
00:59:44,485 --> 00:59:49,358
And when you ask them to participate a lot
and then nothing happens,

914
00:59:49,358 --> 00:59:50,358
then they get for you.

915
00:59:50,959 --> 00:59:56,180
And so, for example, when I consult for a
citizen assembly and I know that it's

916
00:59:56,180 --> 01:00:02,080
a consultative process, my first
conversation is about this and is to say,

917
01:00:02,080 --> 01:00:04,840
look, this is a consultative process.

918
01:00:04,840 --> 01:00:08,820
I need guaranteed of impact. Otherwise,

919
01:00:08,820 --> 01:00:14,040
we should stop here. Right. If you are
discussing at the end of

920
01:00:14,040 --> 01:00:20,064
the year the transportation program of the
city and you're willing

921
01:00:20,064 --> 01:00:23,086
willing to change it because that's the
key,

922
01:00:23,086 --> 01:00:24,427
not that you're discussing it.

923
01:00:24,427 --> 01:00:30,521
If you are willing to change it then and
there are not massive political costs

924
01:00:30,521 --> 01:00:32,652
in some changes because that's the issue,

925
01:00:32,652 --> 01:00:37,356
right? If I've and then it makes sense to
open up

926
01:00:37,356 --> 01:00:42,619
the discussion about transportation ~
because it would have a little

927
01:00:42,619 --> 01:00:46,922
bit of feedback loop, not at the point of
participatory budgeting in which

928
01:00:46,922 --> 01:00:49,984
you ask for the dog park and two years
after

929
01:00:50,404 --> 01:00:54,786
you're taking the dog in your dog park and
there is a plaque that says this

930
01:00:54,786 --> 01:00:57,976
was for the project that Alessandro
proposed,

931
01:00:57,976 --> 01:01:00,268
right? That's where the feedback loop
shines.

932
01:01:00,268 --> 01:01:03,699
But to the point that I participate,

933
01:01:03,699 --> 01:01:07,461
I study, I come two, three weekends
online,

934
01:01:07,461 --> 01:01:11,972
I organize, I write because now they want
the participant to write a lot.

935
01:01:11,972 --> 01:01:15,814
I do a lot of work and at least

936
01:01:16,466 --> 01:01:21,869
there are some changes that the
politicians are willing

937
01:01:22,329 --> 01:01:27,132
to think about and at least discuss in a
positive way.

938
01:01:27,132 --> 01:01:31,594
That to me is the sort of entry point.

939
01:01:31,594 --> 01:01:34,536
If they tell me no, I stop and I just
leave.

940
01:01:34,536 --> 01:01:40,660
~ But the thing is now there

941
01:01:40,660 --> 01:01:43,321
are some topics in which is easier than
others.

942
01:01:45,946 --> 01:01:51,827
In a sense, the explosion of certain
topics in citizen assembly is due

943
01:01:51,827 --> 01:01:54,161
to the fact that this

944
01:01:54,866 --> 01:01:56,897
type of closure of the feedback loop,

945
01:01:56,897 --> 01:02:01,450
it's easy on those topics. Like climate
change assemblies,

946
01:02:01,450 --> 01:02:07,624
now they're changing again, but at a
certain moment they had so much explosion,

947
01:02:07,624 --> 01:02:12,177
in part because people were righteously
pissed about the situation,

948
01:02:12,177 --> 01:02:18,241
but in part because the city was already
doing a lot of the things that they knew

949
01:02:18,241 --> 01:02:19,962
the citizens were going to propose.

950
01:02:21,126 --> 01:02:24,830
Right. And so if you look at what the
citizens propose,

951
01:02:24,830 --> 01:02:27,072
there is very little innovation.

952
01:02:27,072 --> 01:02:31,377
Because in the end, if you think about the
big,

953
01:02:31,377 --> 01:02:35,321
the really big radical changes are not in
the end of the cities.

954
01:02:36,018 --> 01:02:39,199
They are in the end of the production of
energy.

955
01:02:39,199 --> 01:02:43,021
The transportation decisions are often
higher.

956
01:02:43,021 --> 01:02:45,903
Healthcare decisions are higher.

957
01:02:45,903 --> 01:02:51,045
And so what the city can change is like
very little things.

958
01:02:51,045 --> 01:02:56,578
And the city is often very open,

959
01:02:56,578 --> 01:03:00,379
particularly because I don't know,

960
01:03:00,379 --> 01:03:03,771
maybe there are some, but in my experience
in the UK,

961
01:03:03,771 --> 01:03:05,952
the climate assemblies were all proposed.

962
01:03:06,052 --> 01:03:08,494
by labor government or leave them.

963
01:03:08,494 --> 01:03:11,716
They were already very
pro-pedestrianization,

964
01:03:11,716 --> 01:03:15,538
very pro-providing bicycle, integrated
transportation,

965
01:03:15,538 --> 01:03:21,312
all the things that within that frame the
citizens would support.

966
01:03:21,312 --> 01:03:25,145
So it was a little bit, it was an
important process of education visibility.

967
01:03:25,145 --> 01:03:31,729
It had huge, I think, sort of expansion
and that's why the NOCA network does

968
01:03:31,729 --> 01:03:33,410
the entire work on this, right?

969
01:03:33,410 --> 01:03:35,852
And it's amazing work and we learn a lot.

970
01:03:37,006 --> 01:03:39,548
but it was also a part of less resistance.

971
01:03:39,548 --> 01:03:46,266
Nobody has done a study of it again
because it's not a sexy topic

972
01:03:46,266 --> 01:03:50,642
and it goes against the push of the
movement,

973
01:03:50,642 --> 01:03:54,046
right? And so criticizing it would be a
bit problematic.

974
01:03:54,878 --> 01:03:58,750
But everybody knows it's these funny
things,

975
01:03:58,750 --> 01:04:04,303
right? Everybody kind of knows these
things and a few others.

976
01:04:04,303 --> 01:04:09,186
So it's a bit of a weird action research
situation.

977
01:04:12,266 --> 01:04:15,386
And what could be done

978
01:04:15,386 --> 01:04:19,406
to improve scaling?

979
01:04:19,406 --> 01:04:25,926
And also because you mentioned some
conflict of interest and also

980
01:04:25,926 --> 01:04:30,406
in the field people are not always happy
when there are crises.

981
01:04:29,726 --> 01:04:30,726
So

982
01:04:30,466 --> 01:04:36,526
I think paradoxically scaling it's easier
than the conflict of interest stuff.

983
01:04:36,526 --> 01:04:38,986
The difficult stuff is always the
politics.

984
01:04:38,986 --> 01:04:44,186
There are only political solution to
political problem.

985
01:04:44,186 --> 01:04:47,386
There is not a technology solution.

986
01:04:47,386 --> 01:04:50,686
For scaling, I think...

987
01:04:50,780 --> 01:04:54,494
we are at the point in which if we had
enough money,

988
01:04:54,494 --> 01:04:57,226
we could scale it up. And Elend talks
about it,

989
01:04:57,226 --> 01:04:58,807
but others have talked about it.

990
01:04:58,807 --> 01:05:01,030
were experiments in the seventies,

991
01:05:01,030 --> 01:05:02,641
right? It's just...

992
01:05:04,423 --> 01:05:09,605
Even in the 70s, we could have done a
thousand micro-citizen assemblies

993
01:05:09,665 --> 01:05:15,738
in a thousand localities across Italy and
figure out with a lot of work,

994
01:05:15,738 --> 01:05:17,689
manual work, how to integrate them.

995
01:05:17,689 --> 01:05:23,051
And if you think about some of the process
around the Concilio Vaticano II,

996
01:05:23,051 --> 01:05:28,043
the Second Vatican Council, in which all
the church across Italy

997
01:05:28,043 --> 01:05:33,136
had deliberations about, they were not
high quality deliberation,

998
01:05:33,328 --> 01:05:34,328
but

999
01:05:33,528 --> 01:05:38,548
we had capital, capital deliberation of
what the former communist party

1000
01:05:38,548 --> 01:05:40,708
and even the democracy Christiana used to
do.

1001
01:05:40,708 --> 01:05:43,408
They used to have deliberation everywhere,

1002
01:05:43,408 --> 01:05:49,088
right? And so we could think about doing
that in person

1003
01:05:49,088 --> 01:05:55,328
or online and having like a thousand small
cities in assembly that are low cost,

1004
01:05:55,328 --> 01:05:59,108
that are not expensive. They didn't ask a
lot of the participants.

1005
01:06:00,036 --> 01:06:03,728
and way to integrate them. And AI,

1006
01:06:03,728 --> 01:06:07,130
I will be really careful, not because I'm
skeptical of AI.

1007
01:06:07,130 --> 01:06:09,611
I think AI is reaching very good level.

1008
01:06:09,611 --> 01:06:13,673
The problem is autonomy. If we don't

1009
01:06:14,246 --> 01:06:20,187
a national AI model that is explainable
and that

1010
01:06:20,187 --> 01:06:24,119
the organizer of the Citizen Assembly
understand,

1011
01:06:24,119 --> 01:06:28,982
we are outsourcing epistemic framing

1012
01:06:29,694 --> 01:06:33,214
to big tech in the US, right?

1013
01:06:33,214 --> 01:06:35,294
And that's extremely problematic.

1014
01:06:35,294 --> 01:06:38,334
And that is obvious if you use DeepSec.

1015
01:06:38,334 --> 01:06:43,354
If you use DeepSec and you write something
about the Tiananmen protest,

1016
01:06:43,354 --> 01:06:47,894
it disappears. And obviously,

1017
01:06:47,894 --> 01:06:53,754
that's obvious, but the biases are there.

1018
01:06:53,754 --> 01:06:57,914
And there are like biases about the type
of source that are recommended.

1019
01:06:58,620 --> 01:07:00,682
the type of language that is used,

1020
01:07:00,682 --> 01:07:04,275
all sorts. And again, we need full
control.

1021
01:07:04,275 --> 01:07:08,678
I would never suggest to use

1022
01:07:08,799 --> 01:07:14,664
a non-locally installed AI to do this work
for a serious political process.

1023
01:07:14,664 --> 01:07:20,108
Imagine if the Citizen Assembly is used to
discuss security issues

1024
01:07:21,570 --> 01:07:26,554
of Italy or France, right? And the data is
in the US.

1025
01:07:27,710 --> 01:07:31,130
And before we could delude ourselves that,

1026
01:07:31,130 --> 01:07:36,070
okay, the US was a good benevolent
policeman of the world,

1027
01:07:36,070 --> 01:07:42,210
but now it's obvious to everybody that
we're just deluding ourselves

1028
01:07:42,210 --> 01:07:43,789
on what they're operating, right?

1029
01:07:43,789 --> 01:07:47,130
And so that's the key issue around AI.

1030
01:07:47,130 --> 01:07:53,530
The model will improve. It's also a model
that will always contain

1031
01:07:53,530 --> 01:07:55,746
randomness, right? And so...

1032
01:07:56,158 --> 01:08:01,018
it will always need cross checks because
by the way it is created,

1033
01:08:01,018 --> 01:08:07,578
it has randomness on purpose because
otherwise it would be a deterministic
model,

1034
01:08:07,578 --> 01:08:10,598
right? So some people describe it as a
loaded dice.

1035
01:08:10,598 --> 01:08:15,258
The loading become better and better and
better and better and predicting

1036
01:08:15,258 --> 01:08:17,417
the next word, predicting the context,

1037
01:08:17,417 --> 01:08:20,438
but it is a dice, right?

1038
01:08:20,438 --> 01:08:24,278
So even when you're summarizing arguments
of citizens,

1039
01:08:25,566 --> 01:08:29,066
you're summarizing them with a random
error.

1040
01:08:29,066 --> 01:08:35,026
And that at that point enters into
discussion on

1041
01:08:35,026 --> 01:08:39,786
the amount of risk that we are willing to
have on that discussion.

1042
01:08:39,786 --> 01:08:46,685
And so if it is a local discussion about
do we have the bike lane here

1043
01:08:46,685 --> 01:08:51,926
on there and we can involve all the
minorities that usually

1044
01:08:51,926 --> 01:08:54,446
do not participate by using

1045
01:08:54,608 --> 01:08:59,332
an AI tool, I would probably in the cost
benefit analysis say,

1046
01:08:59,332 --> 01:09:04,756
yes, we had an error, but we are involving
this group like

1047
01:09:04,756 --> 01:09:07,828
the Italian minority,

1048
01:09:07,828 --> 01:09:12,773
they never participate. And so the cost
benefit analysis is a yes.

1049
01:09:12,773 --> 01:09:15,856
But if we are discussing,

1050
01:09:15,856 --> 01:09:20,090
I don't know, a topic about a really
sensitive topic,

1051
01:09:20,090 --> 01:09:22,721
like a new law on ~

1052
01:09:23,238 --> 01:09:28,443
sexual violence or whatever in which the
voice of victims

1053
01:09:28,524 --> 01:09:33,929
is fundamental and it needs to be reported
perfectly and it cannot

1054
01:09:33,929 --> 01:09:40,066
be modified in which biases are already
present in almost everybody,

1055
01:09:40,066 --> 01:09:43,970
right? At that point, I would probably say
no AI,

1056
01:09:43,970 --> 01:09:45,742
right? ~ Or

1057
01:09:46,330 --> 01:09:48,511
AI with the level of heat very,

1058
01:09:48,511 --> 01:09:52,332
very low so that it becomes a document
retrieval system.

1059
01:09:52,332 --> 01:09:55,194
Because a lot of people think about AI
only as LLM,

1060
01:09:55,194 --> 01:09:58,035
but there are a million others of machine
learning approaches.

1061
01:09:58,035 --> 01:10:03,017
And there are some that purely doing
document retrieval and they have less

1062
01:10:03,397 --> 01:10:07,559
randomness. ~ And then there is a human
that does the summary,

1063
01:10:07,559 --> 01:10:12,121
does the cross-check. ~ So the technology
is there.

1064
01:10:12,121 --> 01:10:14,032
The problem is ownership.

1065
01:10:14,618 --> 01:10:18,159
It's transparency and those right now,

1066
01:10:18,159 --> 01:10:21,260
if you look at the implementation of most
AI,

1067
01:10:21,260 --> 01:10:24,381
~ they're using commercial products,

1068
01:10:24,381 --> 01:10:26,822
right? And that's highly problematic.

1069
01:10:26,822 --> 01:10:33,083
As when they were using Zoom during COVID
to do high level citizen assembly,

1070
01:10:33,083 --> 01:10:34,814
I was the only one saying, look,

1071
01:10:34,814 --> 01:10:36,905
Zoom is not GDPR compliant, right?

1072
01:10:36,905 --> 01:10:41,466
Like we're talking about accountability
transparency.

1073
01:10:41,466 --> 01:10:42,466
~

1074
01:10:44,048 --> 01:10:47,022
And so, but there is, I don't know,

1075
01:10:47,022 --> 01:10:50,966
there is still a lot, we're still in the
infancy,

1076
01:10:50,966 --> 01:10:54,118
if you think about it, like the first one
was done in 2004.

1077
01:10:52,508 --> 01:10:53,508
Yeah.

1078
01:10:54,118 --> 01:10:57,474
And so it will take time,

1079
01:10:57,474 --> 01:11:02,380
but ~ the direction is very promising,

1080
01:11:02,380 --> 01:11:03,682
right? And, ~

1081
01:11:05,222 --> 01:11:09,936
And even an important thing that I keep
repeating to everybody is that

1082
01:11:09,936 --> 01:11:12,008
we need to forgive ourselves, right?

1083
01:11:12,008 --> 01:11:16,111
Because the alternative is really shit.

1084
01:11:16,111 --> 01:11:21,776
And so even if this stuff has a lot of
problems and a lot of mistake,

1085
01:11:21,776 --> 01:11:24,157
it's better than the alternative.

1086
01:11:24,157 --> 01:11:30,112
And so, yes, the job of academics like me
is to go nitty gritty

1087
01:11:30,112 --> 01:11:33,025
and super critical on every aspect.

1088
01:11:35,144 --> 01:11:40,277
But then the job of the practitioner and
implementer is to tell me,

1089
01:11:40,277 --> 01:11:47,152
go away and do my research and do a cost
benefit analysis

1090
01:11:47,152 --> 01:11:50,595
and say, no, in Bologna now we need a
citizen assembly because it's going

1091
01:11:50,595 --> 01:11:52,526
to break an impasse like in Ireland.

1092
01:11:52,526 --> 01:11:55,027
We need to try to institutionalize.

1093
01:11:55,027 --> 01:11:57,579
Even if we know the challenge of
institutionalization,

1094
01:11:57,579 --> 01:11:59,751
we need to try to do it. Right.

1095
01:11:59,751 --> 01:12:02,092
And that's the action imperative.

1096
01:12:02,092 --> 01:12:04,464
And that I absolutely recognize and
defend.

1097
01:12:04,914 --> 01:12:06,885
But I have an academic imperative,

1098
01:12:06,885 --> 01:12:12,159
right? And so my role is to still figure
out how to do it better.

1099
01:12:12,159 --> 01:12:18,834
~ I'm very happy now that I'm older to do
embargo strategies,

1100
01:12:18,834 --> 01:12:21,265
to do research and development strategies.

1101
01:12:21,265 --> 01:12:27,130
When I was a young postdoc, I was way more
Taliban in a sense on this.

1102
01:12:27,130 --> 01:12:30,113
I wanted radical transparency everywhere.

1103
01:12:30,113 --> 01:12:31,834
And now...

1104
01:12:33,106 --> 01:12:35,497
Like the political contest is tough.

1105
01:12:35,497 --> 01:12:37,297
Democracy is retrenching, right?

1106
01:12:37,297 --> 01:12:40,688
And so we really need to be extremely
careful,

1107
01:12:40,688 --> 01:12:45,689
extremely careful with critique because
they're not gonna care.

1108
01:12:45,689 --> 01:12:51,411
the people, if the readers of my papers
are those that want

1109
01:12:51,411 --> 01:12:56,632
to destroy Citizen Assembly, I'm not gonna
write those papers because

1110
01:12:56,753 --> 01:12:59,053
I want to improve Citizen Assembly,

1111
01:12:59,053 --> 01:13:01,754
right? Those paper will remain.

1112
01:13:02,043 --> 01:13:06,526
but will be given to those that want to
improve city assembly and

1113
01:13:06,526 --> 01:13:09,158
I'm not gonna circulate them in the
public.

1114
01:13:09,158 --> 01:13:13,521
I was joking, I wasn't in the department
at Yale in which a lot of

1115
01:13:13,602 --> 01:13:18,555
my friends were specializing in ~ violence
against civilians,

1116
01:13:18,555 --> 01:13:24,910
civil war, dictatorship. And we were
joking that the only one reading their
papers

1117
01:13:24,930 --> 01:13:29,613
were actually the dictators and those that
wanted to repress.

1118
01:13:30,558 --> 01:13:36,313
~ civil society organization because by
describing in detail

1119
01:13:36,313 --> 01:13:39,465
the way civil society could do things,

1120
01:13:39,465 --> 01:13:46,411
you're also unfortunately providing ideas
on how to break down those tactics.

1121
01:13:46,411 --> 01:13:52,686
Right, so when I'm describing ~ ways to
improve citizen assembly,

1122
01:13:52,686 --> 01:13:57,680
I'm at the same time describing ways to
capture it and destroy it.

1123
01:13:57,680 --> 01:13:59,942
One of the fun exercises

1124
01:14:00,826 --> 01:14:05,249
practitioners do in conferences is to ask
the audience,

1125
01:14:05,249 --> 01:14:07,550
how would you capture a mini public,

1126
01:14:07,550 --> 01:14:12,213
right? What would be the best approach?

1127
01:14:12,213 --> 01:14:16,045
That's a, if you have never done the
exercise,

1128
01:14:16,045 --> 01:14:18,016
I'm talking to the audience directly right
now,

1129
01:14:18,016 --> 01:14:21,097
think about it. I do it with my students
all the time.

1130
01:14:21,097 --> 01:14:26,250
~ At Yale, I did an exercise in which I
asked how to overthrow the US government.

1131
01:14:26,250 --> 01:14:29,002
Then I got an email from the head of the
department.

1132
01:14:29,838 --> 01:14:33,639
That's too much, Paolo. Stick to citizen
assemblies.

1133
01:14:33,639 --> 01:14:39,001
Nobody cares about them. If you're
teaching how to do a coup in the US,

1134
01:14:39,001 --> 01:14:42,842
I get an email from angry administrators.

1135
01:14:42,842 --> 01:14:46,183
But yet sometimes,

1136
01:14:46,183 --> 01:14:49,944
and this is, I think, important for action
researchers like me,

1137
01:14:49,944 --> 01:14:54,325
we often think that nobody reads our
research,

1138
01:14:54,325 --> 01:14:56,366
but it depends what you're doing.

1139
01:14:56,882 --> 01:15:00,163
And sometimes you are thinking about an
audience,

1140
01:15:00,163 --> 01:15:02,764
but there is also the opposite audience.

1141
01:15:02,764 --> 01:15:06,866
And it's very important when you do action
research to think about

1142
01:15:06,866 --> 01:15:09,877
the opposite audience, right? It's really,

1143
01:15:09,877 --> 01:15:14,599
really important. If you are in action
research and you want these democratic

1144
01:15:14,599 --> 01:15:16,220
innovations to become stronger and better.

1145
01:15:19,895 --> 01:15:25,390
My last question was about if you have a
message for practitioners and people

1146
01:15:25,390 --> 01:15:30,695
in the field but in some way you already ~
gave some suggestion but if

1147
01:15:30,695 --> 01:15:31,695
you have some others

1148
01:15:32,400 --> 01:15:35,681
I think that the...

1149
01:15:38,610 --> 01:15:42,083
The message that the message and I keep
repeating it is that we are

1150
01:15:42,083 --> 01:15:48,058
not a minority group anymore. And so I
still see a lot of allergic reaction

1151
01:15:48,058 --> 01:15:51,300
to critique, a lot of evangelism.

1152
01:15:51,300 --> 01:15:57,866
And to me, that was a position that made a
lot of sense when nobody

1153
01:15:57,866 --> 01:15:59,807
was paying attention to us. Right.

1154
01:15:59,807 --> 01:16:05,332
But now there is a shift and it's a
complex shift.

1155
01:16:05,332 --> 01:16:07,654
Right. Because we are actually

1156
01:16:08,062 --> 01:16:12,742
might need now serious autonomous impact
evaluation when it's

1157
01:16:12,742 --> 01:16:16,462
the European Commission that is doing
citizen assembly.

1158
01:16:16,462 --> 01:16:21,802
And it's not a problem to say that some of
these processes

1159
01:16:21,802 --> 01:16:23,822
are actually highly problematic.

1160
01:16:23,822 --> 01:16:25,342
And I don't want to criticize the
commission.

1161
01:16:25,342 --> 01:16:26,962
It could be a city or somebody else,

1162
01:16:26,962 --> 01:16:32,182
right? And so in the moment, there is a
moment in which you have grown enough

1163
01:16:32,182 --> 01:16:37,642
in which there should probably be a reset
on how much we are open.

1164
01:16:37,886 --> 01:16:44,852
~ to critique. And so that would be
something that probably would

1165
01:16:44,852 --> 01:16:47,574
be my message. I think we have reached
that moment.

1166
01:16:47,574 --> 01:16:52,108
And so it's important to start thinking
larger if you want.

1167
01:16:52,108 --> 01:16:54,420
We are not a minoritarian movement
anymore.

1168
01:16:54,420 --> 01:16:58,183
Democratic innovation are here to stay.

1169
01:16:58,183 --> 01:17:02,356
~ There are a million that are occurring
everywhere.

1170
01:17:02,356 --> 01:17:07,010
And it's a moment also to reflect on ~

1171
01:17:07,946 --> 01:17:13,688
on the problematic ones and when we should
use some and when we should

1172
01:17:13,688 --> 01:17:17,150
use somebody else. It's not always helpful
to do it,

1173
01:17:17,150 --> 01:17:22,852
right? But that reflection is really hard
to make because in part some people

1174
01:17:22,852 --> 01:17:26,324
livelihood depend on selling democratic
innovation,

1175
01:17:26,324 --> 01:17:30,816
all the industrial facilitation of
participatory service providers,

1176
01:17:30,816 --> 01:17:34,127
right? But we have very few reflection on
the indices,

1177
01:17:34,127 --> 01:17:36,418
a couple of books. ~

1178
01:17:36,732 --> 01:17:38,884
but it's an important reflection.

1179
01:17:38,884 --> 01:17:43,017
But also the counter, right? I was
discussing commodification and

1180
01:17:43,017 --> 01:17:45,409
the problem that this industry is
generating.

1181
01:17:45,409 --> 01:17:51,494
There should be voice from the industry
defending actually

1182
01:17:51,614 --> 01:17:56,748
commodification because commodification
that we see as negative most of

1183
01:17:56,748 --> 01:18:01,642
the time has an element of standardization
that allows

1184
01:18:02,426 --> 01:18:06,779
cities that don't have enough money to buy
a custom process that

1185
01:18:06,779 --> 01:18:12,031
is way more expensive, to buy an
off-the-shelf participatory process that

1186
01:18:12,031 --> 01:18:14,553
is very cheap, that is outsourced,

1187
01:18:14,553 --> 01:18:19,876
and so they start their path into learning
more about democratic innovation.

1188
01:18:19,876 --> 01:18:26,739
And so I think these types of really
grown-up discussions around
commodification

1189
01:18:26,739 --> 01:18:31,212
are very rarely done, like you have sort
of the Marxist tradition that's completely

1190
01:18:31,212 --> 01:18:32,212
against commodification.

1191
01:18:31,982 --> 01:18:34,223
~ it's terrible, it ruins everything.

1192
01:18:34,223 --> 01:18:36,673
And on the other side, people don't even
engage,

1193
01:18:36,673 --> 01:18:40,284
right? And we don't care, you're crazy
communist.

1194
01:18:40,284 --> 01:18:44,906
~ And it's very important just to do as
many as possible,

1195
01:18:44,906 --> 01:18:49,167
right? The objective function of the
industry is to do as many as possible.

1196
01:18:49,167 --> 01:18:52,578
But that's an important discussion to
have,

1197
01:18:52,578 --> 01:18:55,789
but it's not easy. And again, it's the
role of academics,

1198
01:18:55,789 --> 01:18:58,910
right? I think academics should implement
less actually.

1199
01:18:58,910 --> 01:19:00,490
The implementers are better than us.

1200
01:19:01,018 --> 01:19:06,180
and implementing. It's good to help and
observe and evaluate,

1201
01:19:06,180 --> 01:19:12,984
but I think it's a good time to have like
really redraw some

1202
01:19:12,984 --> 01:19:17,145
of the boundaries, right? And it's
important to co-design and discuss
together,

1203
01:19:17,145 --> 01:19:21,248
but also there are things that we are
better at and there are things that
they're

1204
01:19:21,248 --> 01:19:25,770
better at. And it's important to recognize
those.

1205
01:19:26,352 --> 01:19:32,004
Otherwise there is a naive view of
co-design or sometimes it's called

1206
01:19:32,004 --> 01:19:38,065
democratization ~ of democratic innovation
~ and he

1207
01:19:38,065 --> 01:19:42,557
has his own risk. I think it's very
important to do co-design and
meta-deliberation.

1208
01:19:42,557 --> 01:19:44,227
I'm one of the pioneer of that stuff,

1209
01:19:44,227 --> 01:19:48,689
but it rarely works. We also have to
recognize that it's really hard.

1210
01:19:48,689 --> 01:19:52,700
We just came out of an horizon that tried
to do 11 meta-deliberation,

1211
01:19:52,700 --> 01:19:53,700
not a single one.

1212
01:19:54,822 --> 01:19:56,867
and we had a lot of money to throw at it.

1213
01:19:56,867 --> 01:20:00,257
It didn't work for a million political
reasons,

1214
01:20:00,257 --> 01:20:03,586
really does. Meta-deliberation is super
hard.

1215
01:20:05,776 --> 01:20:09,521
So yes, that's my much, ~ Alessandro.

1216
01:20:09,521 --> 01:20:14,487
And ~ if you want to another one in
Italian,

1217
01:20:12,170 --> 01:20:13,170
Thank you a lot, Paolo.

1218
01:20:14,487 --> 01:20:17,188
if that is helpful as a spin-off,

1219
01:20:17,188 --> 01:20:21,600
~ why not? I'm happy to have it.

1220
01:20:21,600 --> 01:20:26,612
Or a more targeted one, because this was a
little bit of flux of conscience.

1221
01:20:26,085 --> 01:20:27,685
Yeah... but-

1222
01:20:26,612 --> 01:20:28,853
I know that you wanted to interrupt me.

